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The date is 10/10/10. Cool.

I know that I haven’t blogged enough about the upcoming election, which is less than a month away. So here we go. I plan to get a few in before the election.

First, I wouldn’t assume anything.

Second, the Republicans are benefiting from the ruling that allows unlimited contributions from anonymous third parties. It appears that the Chamber of Commerce is thus accepting foreign funds on behalf of groups funded by Karl Rove to run ads to affect the elections. In other words, as usual, the Republicans are in bed with groups outside the country to take our jobs and now our elected offices. Fun.

Here’s what I know.

The Tea Party is full of nut jobs. And if the Republicans don’t win the House and come close in the Senate, the Tea Party (and Palin) will be to blame.

Here’s the easy bit. After Bush and the Republican-tards ran the country into the ground for eight years while I sat around and told people it was happening, if the world gives them back the House and the Senate, then they deserve what’s coming.

But one shouldn’t assume that that is where we are going. The Repugs might get back the House, but I think that’s still a big question mark. The Senate is a different world, and I don’t think it will happen. AND, I also think there is more going on here than people understand.

Senate seats are for 6 years, and every 6 years there are 33, 33, and 34 seats up for grabs (2 for each state). So here’s the thing. Whomever wins this time will be the seats up for grabs in 2016. Think about that. So if Obama wins again in 2012 (and no one on the Democratic side is likely to run against him), then these winners will be up for election when the next real Presidential campaign occurs. So what does that mean?

I think it means that if Hillary or another key Democrat is going to run after Obama completes his two terms (and he will), then they might want to be running against whack jobs. Sharron Angle. Maybe. I think Reid will win in Nevada. Christine O’Donnell (will never happn). Buck in Colorado (I still give CO credit for waking up and voting for Bennett). Rand Paul (still open). So if the Republicans get some of these seats covered, then come Presidential cycle 2016, these are the clowns that we will be running against.

Here’s where I hate this. From a long-term political strategy, losing seats here, especially to the nut jobs, rocks. But outside of that, letting ANYONE that is so fucked up vote in the Senate is problematic. The early view on the coming election is that the Republicans are about to take seats back from the Democrats. That was always going to happen, especially in the House. The deeper reality is that they are putting in positions of power people that even their crazy hacks (like Karl Rove) don’t really like. The Republican Party is splintering. The Democrats are not.

More to come.

Sorry it has been so long. I know a lot of you have been ticked. Let me give you a few notes.

1) I have been busy and needed a break from politics.

2) I think Obama is doing mostly fine but needs to get this health care thing done. More later.

3) For those that have known me a long time, I think that Up in the Air has replaced Grand Canyon as my favorite flick of all time. It comes out next week on DVD and Blu-Ray so check it out yourself.

4) I’m just busy.

5) Political rants will start again soon. Here’s my general view. I said last year that the Republicans would pick up some seats in the House in 2010. That’s normal. I think the Senate is up for debate in terms of the future outlook. The Republicans are suggesting that they might win 10 seats and take it back. I think they’ll be lucky to get 3 in the end. We’ll see. More on this in the coming weeks.

Go see Up in the Air. I’ll write about that next and then the campaign after that.

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